Whether you have been around the sports betting game for a while, or are new and also have been following the advice found on this site, chances are you’ve been to sites like Covers.com while doing research on upcoming games. Chances are you have also noticed the little « consensus » tidbit next to each game, telling you which team the public thinks will win. You might see that a team has a 70% general sediment and feel like which may be quite a good bet that you should make. While nothing is ever certain in the world of sports betting, this feeling will be incorrect.

One of the most significant concepts to bear in mind when betting on sports is this: in the event the public won more than they lost, sports books would cease to exist. Which is simplifying things a little, bear in mind, but generally that is a true statement. Casinos and sport books will be in business to make money–lots of cash. Whenever they are losing money in a particular area, they will either change the rules or stop offering it entirely. Since the world of online sport books is alive and thriving, it is then safe to assume that they are making money and that, over time, the public loses their money.

I have been telling people to subscribe to the theory of reverse general sediment for years now. As will be the case with a whole lot of the advice I have offered here at SportBooksReview, I’m not suggesting that men and women blindly bet against the team with higher public support every night–just keep it in your mind when doing your research. There are actually some situations where observing the general public consensus and comparing it to line movement can be very eye-opening, and those are the situations where you can pounce.

Once we discussed in our Line Movement article, there are numerous of factors that can cause sport books to move the line. One particular factor is one team getting decidedly additional money wagered on it than the other, creating a scenario where the books would lose a large amount of cash if one team wins. Books would want to have an excellent, even amount of cash bet on both sides of a game, to ensure that no matter what team wins, they’ll come out on top as a result of the juice (newbies: betting $110 to win $100, the $10 will be the juice). This really is why it’s really a good idea to take a quick peek at the consensus percentages in addition to the line movement for the games you want to bet on–there can sometimes be some very useful hidden information navigate to this site give you an advantage.

When doing your research, if you happen to see a game where the general public can be very heavily betting on one team, say 70% or higher, yet the line did not move from it’s original number, then you have to ask yourself why which is. In the event the public is betting most of their money on a team, although the books don’t move the number to attract betters for the additional team, then it’s telling you something. Either the books are confident that the general public will lose, or perhaps the big-money sharp betters have already made their bets on another team. No matter what, this really is a major red flag. Again, do not blindly bet your hard earned money on this strategy, but there will be situations where these numbers are too strong to ignore.

Generally, I like fading the public–especially when there is a strong public consensus betting on the underdog in a game. As you surely already know, the common theme of my articles is research–we’re speaking about your money here, so it’s extremely important that you make every effort to search out one benefit before you make your bet. As will be the case with a whole lot of my advice, this is not meant to be a one size fits all strategy, but part of a bigger overall strategy of doing your homework and eventually finding solid money-making opportunities. If you follow the advice I’ve offered inside this article and combine it with several of my other strategies, you will win money–the only question is: simply how much?