Whether you’ve been around the sports betting game for a while, or are new and have been following the advice found on this site, chances are you’ve been to sites like Covers.com while doing research on upcoming games. Chances are you have also noticed the little « consensus » tidbit next to each game, telling you which team the general public thinks will win. You could see that a team has a 70% popular opinion and feel like that might be a pretty good bet that you should make. While nothing is ever certain worldwide of sports betting, this feeling is usually incorrect.

Among the most critical concepts to take into account when betting on sports is this: if the public won more than they lost, sports books would cease to exist. That’s simplifying things just a little, bear in mind, but in most cases that is a true statement. Casinos and sport books are in business to make money–lots of cash. If they are losing money in a particular area, they’re going to either change the guidelines or stop offering it entirely. Since the world of online sport books is alive and thriving, it is then safe to assume that they can be making money and that, over time, the public loses their money.

I’ve been telling people to subscribe to the theory of reverse general sediment for years now. As will be the case with a great deal of the advice I have offered here at SportBooksReview, I am not suggesting that men and women blindly bet against the team with higher public support every night–just keep it in your mind when doing your investigation. There are actually some situations where observing the general public consensus and comparing it to line movement can be very eye-opening, and those are the situations in which you can pounce.

Once we discussed in our Line Movement article, there are a number of factors which could cause sport books to move the line. One such factor is just one team getting decidedly additional money wagered on it than the other, creating a scenario where the books would lose a sizable amount of money if one team wins. Books would prefer to have a nice, even sum of money bet on both sides of a game, in order that regardless of what team wins, they’ll come out on top because of the juice (newbies: betting $110 to win $100, the $10 is the juice). This is why it is a great idea to take a quick peek at mouse click the up coming webpage consensus percentages as well as the line movement for the games you want to bet on–there can sometimes be some very useful hidden information to give you one advantage.

When doing your investigation, if you happen to find out a game where the general public can be very heavily betting on one team, say 70% or higher, yet the line did not move from it’s original number, in which case you have to ask yourself why that is. In the event the public is betting most of their money on a team, but the books don’t move the number to attract betters for the other team, then it’s telling you something. Either the books are confident that the public will lose, or the big-money sharp betters have already made their bets on the additional team. Either way, this really is a serious red flag. Again, don’t blindly bet your hard earned money on this strategy, but there will be situations where these numbers are too strong to ignore.

In most cases, I like fading the public–especially when there is a strong public consensus betting on the underdog in a game. While you surely already know, the common theme of my articles is research–we’re talking about your money here, so it’s extremely essential that you make every effort to search out one benefit prior to making your bet. As will be the case with a lot of my advice, this isn’t meant to be a one size fits all strategy, but part of a larger overall strategy of doing your homework and eventually finding solid money-making opportunities. If you follow the advice I’ve offered in this particular article and combine it with some of my other strategies, you will win money–the only question is: how much?